Market · 5 of 15 outcomes
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 518 | 95.2¢ | $508 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| JanusApprentice0x21c0…4827 | No | 436 | 92.1¢ | $428 | New99 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 384 | 88.7¢ | $378 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| JungPung0x6339…ad29 | Yes | 20,811 | 1.6¢ | $375 | Positive+$57.09 per $100 · 274 bets |
| akum40xe393…8364 | No | 281 | 91.6¢ | $276 | — |
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | No | 233 | 82.7¢ | $229 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 9,928 | 2.7¢ | $179 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| Thisismkc0xcb12…98e0 | Yes | 8,902 | 11.6¢ | $160 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 153 | 96.4¢ | $150 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 6,895 | 4.1¢ | $124 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| qianduoduoduo0xfd9c…7046 | No | 123 | 94.5¢ | $121 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 100 | 94.0¢ | $98 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| IceFrosst0xb2ca…5fb0 | Yes | 4,926 | 6.2¢ | $89 | — |
| a5DYXQMGEE0x0be4…b548 | Yes | 4,366 | 2.0¢ | $79 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 346 bets |
| SafeVaultBlue0x977f…0981 | No | 80 | 92.7¢ | $79 | — |
| Chrismactom0x3d7a…b2e4 | Yes | 4,212 | 3.7¢ | $76 | — |
| RooksD0000xf68a…63a3 | Yes | 3,969 | 6.3¢ | $71 | Positive+$15.02 per $100 · 447 bets |
| grizzlyf0x18eb…5dbc | Yes | 3,830 | 2.1¢ | $69 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 55 | 98.0¢ | $54 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| cat67670x124a…3741 | No | 47 | 87.5¢ | $46 | Proven+$3.04 per $100 · 487 bets |
| whormoozz0x645e…cc7b | Yes | 2,343 | 13.3¢ | $42 | — |
| scottylee0xd7d8…19e6 | Yes | 2,235 | 11.9¢ | $40 | — |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 2,120 | 2.2¢ | $38 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| tonton690xca90…813a | Yes | 2,085 | 6.2¢ | $38 | — |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 2,078 | 3.5¢ | $37 | — |
| macrobody0x4472…a648 | Yes | 2,069 | 11.3¢ | $37 | — |
| soulMY0x68c0…4991 | Yes | 2,020 | 0.8¢ | $36 | — |
| AvidMound29490x8bf6…6c2f | Yes | 1,955 | 16.7¢ | $35 | New1 settled bet |
| yuandong0x5164…f814 | No | 30 | 98.8¢ | $29 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,508 | 3.8¢ | $27 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| Tony100x4274…ba73 | Yes | 1,386 | 1.2¢ | $25 | — |
| trhydxf0xa6aa…9062 | No | 24 | 96.6¢ | $24 | — |
| asdasdasdwow1230xe6d7…f810 | Yes | 1,273 | 3.2¢ | $23 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 1,200 | 1.4¢ | $22 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| nemonem0x319b…f04e | Yes | 1,150 | 2.6¢ | $21 | — |
| sand10x34d0…264e | No | 20 | 89.4¢ | $20 | — |
| 47Capital0xf29d…add3 | Yes | 1,062 | 1.5¢ | $19 | — |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | Yes | 1,000 | 1.8¢ | $18 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| darthgeek0xfc14…2e9b | Yes | 998 | 6.5¢ | $18 | — |
| darthgeek13380x44fc…ac29 | Yes | 903 | 6.8¢ | $16 | — |
| Sol4000x6243…3e44 | Yes | 882 | 5.9¢ | $16 | — |
| ammarb0x5efe…5f55 | Yes | 874 | 4.6¢ | $16 | New44 settled bets |
| 0x1c44…6021 | Yes | 800 | 3.9¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x456b…a3ef | Yes | 727 | 3.2¢ | $13 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 683 | 3.3¢ | $12 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,933 bets |
| Rawdy0xc6fa…51e5 | No | 11 | 89.6¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.74 per $100 · 11,532 bets |
| Spectrum0x0781…c4ff | Yes | 575 | 1.5¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.28 per $100 · 6,282 bets |
| Jasmin4220xecf2…b1f9 | No | 10 | 98.0¢ | $10 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 533 | 9.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 522 | 3.9¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 500 | 2.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| blabla70xa717…8ded | Yes | 500 | 9.1¢ | $9 | — |
| plygd0xf077…a95c | Yes | 476 | 2.2¢ | $9 | — |
| bshardy0xd816…6c0f | Yes | 445 | 13.1¢ | $8 | — |
| Stann0xdf7e…6d4d | Yes | 428 | 1.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xf501…2a88 | Yes | 416 | 3.7¢ | $7 | — |
| AviOz100xc004…7eab | Yes | 377 | 2.8¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4c9b…6c1e | No | 7 | 94.8¢ | $7 | — |
| WCGW0xffbb…aca6 | Yes | 366 | 4.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x3245…7139 | Yes | 366 | 2.7¢ | $7 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 360 | 4.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Anon92837640xd8f8…63fe | Yes | 355 | 12.8¢ | $6 | — |
| justrun860xe196…5d47 | Yes | 303 | 3.4¢ | $5 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 302 | 1.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x38b6…7bc5 | No | 5 | 97.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xe980…2398 | No | 5 | 97.1¢ | $5 | — |
| kunsect770x3880…db44 | No | 5 | 95.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 11,747 bets |
| forgotmydinner0x4a0e…a4b1 | Yes | 261 | 3.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$18.40 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 0xdc7b…ae4a | Yes | 257 | 10.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Baejun0x13dd…b2b7 | Yes | 241 | 5.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Biton0xa7bd…2752 | No | 4 | 96.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x29f0…b56f | No | 4 | 97.5¢ | $4 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 196 | 4.3¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| wfdsfsd0x0293…ea2b | No | 3 | 97.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 3 | 93.9¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 151 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 74ssd0xae96…bb33 | No | 2 | 94.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8cf8…f523 | No | 1 | 98.7¢ | $1 | — |
| tce760x1f02…f2f9 | No | 1 | 91.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 1 | 97.6¢ | $1 | — |
| kanyesigyekatheryn0x91d7…5f2e | No | 1 | 96.6¢ | $1 | — |
| mathewbyaruhanga0x49f0…b403 | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | New97 settled bets |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 1 | 85.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 1 | 98.2¢ | $1 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.08 per $100 · 21,166 bets |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | No | 0 | 92.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 0 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.