Market · 4 of 15 outcomes
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafalafel0x8c0b…f0fb | Yes | 13,808 | 1.3¢ | $400 | Proven+$9.94 per $100 · 497 bets |
| poluser20260x40a7…91c9 | Yes | 12,014 | 2.7¢ | $348 | — |
| Avotoast0xcddc…a8cf | Yes | 10,000 | 1.4¢ | $290 | — |
| hahaha130x491e…667f | Yes | 8,448 | 1.8¢ | $245 | New42 settled bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | No | 250 | 97.8¢ | $243 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 7,206 | 1.9¢ | $209 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| Nm6XqLp9JwR0x9063…bcdb | No | 187 | 97.4¢ | $182 | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 6,027 | 2.4¢ | $175 | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 179 | 97.9¢ | $173 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| MossfieldWalker0xcfb0…0de3 | No | 178 | 97.4¢ | $173 | — |
| justT0xbfe2…1913 | Yes | 5,208 | 1.7¢ | $151 | New39 settled bets |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | Yes | 4,934 | 1.4¢ | $143 | — |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 4,269 | 3.6¢ | $124 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 92 | 98.9¢ | $89 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| sawyer27180x3b0e…6348 | Yes | 3,000 | 1.1¢ | $87 | — |
| helix-global0xaeca…cc9c | Yes | 2,618 | 4.1¢ | $76 | — |
| 0xee8a…f0b0 | Yes | 2,138 | 1.8¢ | $62 | — |
| Aardwulf0x015a…86a9 | Yes | 2,062 | 2.8¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 1,964 | 2.2¢ | $57 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 1,823 | 3.8¢ | $53 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| LilTimmyJimmy0x7268…c903 | Yes | 1,717 | 1.2¢ | $50 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 1,650 | 0.9¢ | $48 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| freeelon0x57b7…9cc5 | No | 40 | 97.6¢ | $39 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 1,199 | 1.6¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 35 | 98.9¢ | $34 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| MB40x755a…9748 | Yes | 1,151 | 3.4¢ | $33 | — |
| Subparconductor0x5514…10df | Yes | 1,100 | 2.9¢ | $32 | New66 settled bets |
| DistantCinder0x6b93…dbb5 | No | 31 | 97.3¢ | $30 | — |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | Yes | 1,000 | 1.6¢ | $29 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 960 | 1.4¢ | $28 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| WCGW0xffbb…aca6 | Yes | 950 | 3.0¢ | $28 | — |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 943 | 0.4¢ | $27 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| aitrader12340x16f9…19f0 | Yes | 900 | 2.3¢ | $26 | — |
| MWM0x3b37…6962 | Yes | 847 | 3.7¢ | $25 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 846 | 3.8¢ | $25 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| crop?0xe308…309c | Yes | 789 | 2.0¢ | $23 | — |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 761 | 1.2¢ | $22 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| jack88800x8d84…73f9 | No | 22 | 98.3¢ | $22 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | Yes | 707 | 2.0¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| 0x659d…a037 | Yes | 620 | 2.4¢ | $18 | — |
| ptaszek0x5cf6…6ade | Yes | 605 | 1.4¢ | $18 | — |
| vtx0x6718…e623 | Yes | 600 | 1.8¢ | $17 | — |
| Elton1230x8673…4025 | Yes | 565 | 2.6¢ | $16 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 562 | 2.3¢ | $16 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,927 bets |
| MetrixNeo0x6a07…f0b0 | Yes | 559 | 2.4¢ | $16 | — |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | Yes | 500 | 1.1¢ | $15 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| Tony100x4274…ba73 | Yes | 500 | 1.9¢ | $15 | — |
| normieholocaust0x7fe7…dbd6 | Yes | 400 | 1.2¢ | $12 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 374 | 3.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,456 bets |
| kllkdd0xd156…74f2 | No | 10 | 97.2¢ | $10 | — |
| JasonX80xa7ee…2104 | Yes | 306 | 2.1¢ | $9 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $9 | — |
| marketgravity0xae73…09fa | Yes | 288 | 2.8¢ | $8 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 271 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x5392…5d1b | Yes | 255 | 4.1¢ | $7 | — |
| Biton0xa7bd…2752 | No | 7 | 97.4¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x1457…b167 | No | 6 | 98.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x2b5f…cc11 | Yes | 198 | 2.6¢ | $6 | — |
| dgfd760x191e…ef6b | Yes | 185 | 2.0¢ | $5 | — |
| yaghjkl0x728c…8c7d | No | 5 | 98.9¢ | $5 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 125 | 3.1¢ | $4 | — |
| cghy99990xb530…7876 | No | 4 | 98.7¢ | $4 | — |
| xxffd560x001b…c1a6 | No | 4 | 98.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Stann0xdf7e…6d4d | Yes | 118 | 1.8¢ | $3 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 115 | 2.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 3 | 98.4¢ | $3 | — |
| vgdfr560x07bf…6adc | No | 2 | 98.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 1 | 98.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 98.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.62 per $100 · 20,256 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 92 events · $5.94M in play
Exactly one of this event's 15 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.