Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 4,626 | 21.7¢ | $2.29K | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| dublyash20xb94c…4c0c | Yes | 3,934 | 63.8¢ | $1.99K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 |
| No |
| 1,647 |
| 31.9¢ |
| $815 |
| Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| crampedspirit0xcb29…9df3 | Yes | 1,050 | 87.2¢ | $530 | — |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 1,000 | 13.0¢ | $495 | Proven+$6.06 per $100 · 622 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 800 | 79.5¢ | $404 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 29,989+ bets · updating |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 74 shares each side · Show
|
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 88 events · $5.91M in play