Market · 6 of 6 outcomes
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 88 events · $5.91M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | No | 1,433 | 72.8¢ | $1.38K | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 1,152 | 93.9¢ | $1.11K | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 800 | 98.1¢ | $768 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 29,989+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 428 | 58.1¢ | $411 | — |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 398 | 98.3¢ | $382 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,942 bets |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 383 | 86.5¢ | $368 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 18 shares each side · Show
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