Market · 6 of 6 outcomes
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | No | 1,433 | 72.8¢ | $1.37K | — |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 1,152 | 93.9¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 800 | 98.1¢ | $763 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 29,989+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 428 | 58.1¢ | $408 | — |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 398 | 98.3¢ | $379 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,942 bets |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 383 | 86.5¢ | $366 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| Liechti00xb410…57eb | No | 339 | 60.0¢ | $323 | New63 settled bets |
| ultra-poverty0x810f…57aa | No | 226 | 68.9¢ | $215 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 120 | 54.0¢ | $114 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 71 | 90.0¢ | $67 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | No | 69 | 82.6¢ | $66 | — |
| Umaroth0xefde…783d | No | 66 | 66.0¢ | $63 | Break-even+$0.51 per $100 · 4,270 bets |
| NeevS0x30b2…1a36 | No | 60 | 98.9¢ | $57 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 52 | 65.0¢ | $49 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 48 | 82.6¢ | $46 | — |
| vovaauer0xaffd…dc80 | No | 46 | 52.0¢ | $44 | — |
| dublyash20xb94c…4c0c | Yes | 907 | 40.7¢ | $42 | — |
| Pump0xe74d…22fd | Yes | 827 | 1.1¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xffac…bbf5 | No | 40 | 97.6¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xdb1d…6189 | No | 36 | 84.5¢ | $34 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 639 | 1.2¢ | $30 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| holmman0xaa41…f0ac | No | 29 | 69.9¢ | $28 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 502 | 6.6¢ | $23 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| YieldScouter0x3ec5…c370 | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $19 | — |
| labyby0x17de…761e | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 20 | 97.9¢ | $19 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 20 | 57.0¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 20 | 97.3¢ | $19 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 67.9¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 94.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| 0x1b4c…1918 | Yes | 400 | 2.7¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xd356…963d | No | 18 | 66.9¢ | $17 | — |
| totalost8010xda39…b4aa | Yes | 357 | 1.5¢ | $17 | — |
| bZk0Uo0x138b…0467 | Yes | 315 | 8.0¢ | $15 | — |
| idkds0x1eb4…d88a | No | 15 | 97.9¢ | $14 | — |
| FFFFFFFF90xf333…ba41 | Yes | 257 | 46.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Alfabaguera0x4d0f…68e1 | Yes | 250 | 46.0¢ | $12 | — |
| JesusFK0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | 217 | 46.0¢ | $10 | — |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 10 | 86.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Iceqbedoo0x3ff1…1be9 | No | 10 | 84.5¢ | $10 | — |
| marineann0x83b7…cc14 | No | 10 | 98.9¢ | $10 | New54 settled bets |
| 0x0fe0…4014 | No | 10 | 61.0¢ | $10 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 66.0¢ | $10 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 193 | 7.5¢ | $9 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| MineYours0xe096…be8e | Yes | 139 | 41.6¢ | $6 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 128 | 36.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 7.0¢ | $6 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 118 | 29.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 110 | 17.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| 0xc327…31f5 | Yes | 109 | 26.5¢ | $5 | — |
| nobody121380x5d2c…baf2 | No | 5 | 60.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Asipbajrami0x98f3…244d | No | 5 | 61.0¢ | $5 | — |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | No | 5 | 82.6¢ | $5 | — |
| mykclawd0x95e5…201a | Yes | 78 | 32.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xb45c…962d | No | 3 | 60.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2f22…25e9 | Yes | 49 | 31.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5818…af32 | No | 2 | 85.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8221…22bc | Yes | 40 | 31.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x030d…f512 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x033b…a9a7 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0457…b212 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x07b1…9342 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0c38…847a | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0dd2…1f38 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x11e4…ce06 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x1492…a04e | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x15e7…3226 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 31 | 35.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 21 | 47.7¢ | $1 | — |
| hadarhaddad0x1946…6367 | Yes | 20 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zzzfff0x9010…d06f | Yes | 20 | 28.8¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 18 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 2sam0x9367…6eaf | Yes | 18 | 45.0¢ | $1 | — |
| trader-d163084d0xd163…9841 | Yes | 16 | 48.7¢ | $1 | — |
| aandriy0x5de8…f004 | Yes | 15 | 43.0¢ | $1 | — |
| turbogigachad0x205c…1cdb | Yes | 15 | 34.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 13 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bullbull880x3008…3c76 | Yes | 12 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 11 | 16.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| RnB-6120x5099…d500 | Yes | 7 | 15.5¢ | $0 | New42 settled bets |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 5 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2ac3…3473 | Yes | 5 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x232c…ada8 | Yes | 5 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa565…6730 | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nickol0xad14…fbbd | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Pavel550xaf56…2be0 | Yes | 5 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mandate60xeb00…f586 | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $0 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 3 | 12.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
| 0x2325…803d | Yes | 3 | 33.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4289…314c | Yes | 3 | 33.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xffe0…178f | Yes | 3 | 33.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0394…c5c2 | Yes | 2 | 42.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x04c7…89b4 | Yes | 2 | 42.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 2 | 4.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 18 shares each side · Show
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