Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 90 events · $5.92M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alicie0x4d58…8679 | No | 1,200 | 87.3¢ | $1K | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 999 | 76.6¢ | $834 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 65,033 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| lamyk0xc004…c095 |
| No |
| 428 |
| 48.0¢ |
| $358 |
| — |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 409 | 69.9¢ | $341 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 404 | 92.1¢ | $337 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,951 bets |
| Liechti00xb410…57eb | No | 400 | 51.0¢ | $334 | New63 settled bets |