Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 3 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dublyash20xb94c…4c0c | Yes | 4,767 | 63.4¢ | $3.07K | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 4,626 | 21.7¢ | $1.64K | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| crampedspirit0xcb29…9df3 |
| Yes |
| 1,050 |
| 87.2¢ |
| $677 |
| — |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 915 | 58.4¢ | $590 | Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 1,647 | 31.9¢ | $585 | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 1,000 | 13.0¢ | $355 | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| PARIS0x3f19…02fc | Yes | 539 | 83.7¢ | $348 | — |
| 0x7272…a67d | No | 795 | 10.2¢ | $282 | New73 settled bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 432 | 85.0¢ | $279 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 400 | 79.5¢ | $258 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | No | 546 | 34.4¢ | $194 | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 300 | 80.0¢ | $194 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 280 | 65.6¢ | $181 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 500 | 54.2¢ | $178 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| WunnaWun0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | 274 | 67.0¢ | $177 | — |
| 0x2d14…3287 | Yes | 238 | 63.9¢ | $154 | — |
| 2Sherlock0xbd81…006d | No | 400 | 15.0¢ | $142 | — |
| 0x14a1…9912 | Yes | 220 | 80.0¢ | $142 | — |
| edge9990xab44…c994 | Yes | 219 | 64.7¢ | $141 | — |
| PredictionPuppy0x23d1…743a | Yes | 200 | 85.5¢ | $129 | — |
| 0x7dcf…a4e5 | Yes | 200 | 56.0¢ | $129 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 186 | 77.8¢ | $120 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Alicie0x4d58…8679 | No | 300 | 55.0¢ | $107 | — |
| K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE0xa68b…c4b4 | No | 278 | 53.0¢ | $99 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 141 | 81.0¢ | $91 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,566 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 133 | 59.0¢ | $86 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 110 | 91.0¢ | $71 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | Yes | 100 | 88.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | Yes | 100 | 66.9¢ | $65 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 93 | 59.3¢ | $60 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,633 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 150 | 56.0¢ | $53 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| 2020xb0x263a…f5aa | No | 129 | 39.6¢ | $46 | New31 settled bets |
| cocumberinocapucino0xa99f…d8a7 | Yes | 69 | 85.5¢ | $45 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 67 | 58.4¢ | $43 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 100 | 43.0¢ | $35 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | Yes | 52 | 75.8¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x2128…f3c7 | No | 91 | 11.4¢ | $32 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 50 | 69.0¢ | $32 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 50 | 66.0¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 3,292 bets |
| trader-aaaae9840xaaaa…6783 | Yes | 50 | 80.0¢ | $32 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 86 | 37.8¢ | $30 | — |
| DJa0xf9df…3b0a | No | 79 | 16.5¢ | $28 | — |
| SPLPB0xdf0e…c02b | No | 65 | 54.0¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.97 per $100 · 5,635 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 34 | 54.2¢ | $22 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 60 | 40.5¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xcbc4…6070 | No | 55 | 37.0¢ | $20 | — |
| tiromi0x0dfe…e95b | No | 50 | 56.0¢ | $18 | — |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 50 | 58.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0x1d3e…ffcd | Yes | 23 | 52.9¢ | $15 | — |
| riitmo0xbfb3…f890 | No | 41 | 49.0¢ | $14 | — |
| poli.monaco0xf767…61df | No | 40 | 14.5¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x19e5…d7cd | No | 39 | 13.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$5.87 per $100 · 217 bets |
| Ouuu-shi0xbdbb…a2cd | Yes | 20 | 62.9¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7d33…c15f | No | 34 | 41.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$4.65 per $100 · 579 bets |
| james7rjames7r0x8692…f6c8 | Yes | 17 | 71.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | No | 24 | 40.6¢ | $8 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 23 | 37.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| asd560xda65…e87e | No | 21 | 27.0¢ | $7 | — |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | No | 20 | 11.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 11 | 64.1¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | No | 20 | 23.0¢ | $7 | — |
| DidYKH0xd16b…36c0 | Yes | 11 | 71.8¢ | $7 | — |
| DeverNoom0x529d…6381 | Yes | 10 | 62.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.70 per $100 · 875 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 18 | 42.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| palochka0x5fc6…9561 | Yes | 8 | 60.9¢ | $5 | — |
| onyxt0x9de3…b489 | Yes | 7 | 67.9¢ | $5 | — |
| sm-020x7a55…9e6b | No | 12 | 16.5¢ | $4 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| Miguel2621440x2df5…51ac | No | 10 | 38.9¢ | $4 | Proven+$4.12 per $100 · 9,181 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| 0x86dd…1af2 | No | 10 | 54.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xe21c…447a | No | 9 | 28.0¢ | $3 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 5 | 74.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| 0x5832…d068 | No | 7 | 15.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 7 | 38.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| totalost8010xda39…b4aa | Yes | 4 | 58.0¢ | $2 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 6 | 42.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4da4…ffa1 | No | 6 | 17.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | No | 5 | 13.0¢ | $2 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 4 | 58.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| ProyxBR0x80f9…bc65 | Yes | 2 | 86.5¢ | $1 | — |
| grentub0xde9e…f615 | No | 3 | 38.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xacc1…1d34 | No | 3 | 36.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ppppvv0x9675…1732 | Yes | 1 | 91.3¢ | $1 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 1 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| abunyee0x78b6…bc74 | No | 1 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 49.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| MaxwellBot32-20xee22…2557 | Yes | 0 | 73.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
3 accounts bet both sides equally · 110 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 100 events · $6.03M in play