Market · 9 of 10 outcomes
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…7699 | No | 17,000 | 87.6¢ | $16.6K | Proven+$9.79 per $100 · 1,188 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | No | 5,068 | 84.4¢ | $4.94K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 4,132 | 92.6¢ | $4.02K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 3,274 | 95.7¢ | $3.19K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| 0x9f57…4f12 | No | 2,590 | 92.3¢ | $2.52K | — |
| spongebobs0x821f…f9c3 | No | 1,013 | 89.2¢ | $987 | New58 settled bets |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play