Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 85 events · $5.91M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Anthropic, 6 on OpenAI. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul9739730xa108…abd3 | Anthropic | 25,603 | 89.8¢ | $24.5K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | Anthropic | 6,728 | 94.3¢ | $6.45K | New |
Shares = Anthropic minus OpenAI for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | Anthropic | 6,192 | 95.9¢ | $5.93K | New56 settled bets |
| woodlawncap0xe005…14fd | Anthropic | 4,300 | 95.7¢ | $4.12K | Proven+$4.14 per $100 · 233 bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | Anthropic | 3,060 | 95.4¢ | $2.93K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | Anthropic | 3,000 | 94.3¢ | $2.87K | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,736 bets |