Market · 3 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The-Joker0x9aeb…2729 | No | 3,036 | 61.3¢ | $2.19K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 2,752 bets |
| WunnaWun0xe562…4fa9 | No | 509 | 69.6¢ | $366 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x2b67…b814 |
| Yes |
| 1,178 |
| 43.0¢ |
| $330 |
| Positive+$6.28 per $100 · 357 bets |
| PiMaak0xf7bb…a9f7 | No | 404 | 57.3¢ | $291 | — |
| gramzal0xb01d…3634 | Yes | 990 | 39.7¢ | $277 | — |
| Mr.Frog🐸0xb1fe…423a | No | 230 | 55.7¢ | $166 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 108 events · $6.11M in play