Waymo

Decided by

The company with the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars, based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.§1

Equal market caps

If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, the market resolves to the name first alphabetically.§4

No IPO possible

A listed company may resolve to "No" once it cannot complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by a public entity.§10

Trading interruption

If the first trading day is interrupted, the market resolves by the official closing price of the abbreviated session.§11

No closing price

If no official closing price is published, the market uses the next trading day with an official closing price as the first trading day.§12

Counted

Companies that complete an Initial Public Offering between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.§2

Source

The primary exchange's official listing page.§5

Closes

Dec 31, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 100.9¢ right now.

• Anthropic 54.4¢
• SpaceX 45.5¢
• OpenAI 0.6¢
• ByteDance 0.1¢
• Stripe 0.1¢
• Databricks 0.1¢
• SHEIN 0.1¢
• Waymo 0.1¢
• Revolut 0.1¢
• Discord 0.1¢
• Perplexity AI 0.1¢
• Kraken 0.1¢