Market · 8 of 12 outcomes
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07930xc99c…6329 | No | 51 | 99.8¢ | $51 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 47 | 99.8¢ | $47 | — |
| kittyJJ0x7a72…b63c | No | 25 | 99.6¢ | $25 | — |
| Wenkie30x0e4f…81a1 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.05 per $100 · 502 bets |
| d6e80x22bc…f82b | No | 11 | 99.9¢ | $11 | — |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | Yes | 15,290 | 1.2¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 13,131 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,343 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 12,166 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 08470x58e0…2f6f | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| kokelin0x2334…cd00 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 2,021 bets |
| 54654HFHFGHFH50x8208…330a | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3408…ab7c | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Vgvlrt0x664d…a848 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8,673 | 1.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,147 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,061 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 5,000 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| 0x2271…7e43 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xbcdc…9ecf | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 795b0xf397…3ae2 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 4,400 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| 82b60xd937…e342 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x373c…2af1 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | New26 settled bets |
| 0xcfc1…eb97 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 3,847 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,720 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 3,533 | 1.3¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,238 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 3,227 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| 0ad50xa2e8…a194 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum0xcd91…32b8 | Yes | 3,084 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 41,780 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 2,979 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 2,867 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.48 per $100 · 118,139+ bets · updating |
| 2f200x6d19…10dc | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 452b0xb3eb…5bd3 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 2,325 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| eafe0xf273…2210 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3fbd…f90e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LODDO0x8dfc…f414 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,987 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,827 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,718 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,633 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1,540 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 1,500 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 1,479 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 1,217 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 1,185 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,690 bets |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | Yes | 1,002 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| 0x1c03…aa32 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1f49…24fc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 12123213123120x2a03…3e2d | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x63de…c689 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x745e…b1cc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7777…67f0 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf94b…a36a | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 999 | 1.2¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x12356510x1bfb…8bea | Yes | 988 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,956 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 935 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| rocky420190x8f13…daae | Yes | 845 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 825 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 767 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 744 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 743 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 647 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 564 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| MacroAnalyst86580xd768…a4b9 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | — |
| letmecookibegyou0xd6be…00c5 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| RidelFishing0x061d…0dd3 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.