Market · 16 of 19 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 103.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 200 | 99.5¢ | $199 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,869 bets |
| UN-Sure0x8891…b5fc | No | 12 | 99.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $8 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 5,341 | 0.5¢ | $8 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.1¢ | $8 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 4,927 | 0.3¢ | $7 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.