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Topic · Geopolitics
12 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
1.5% of Polymarket
Events · markets
8 · 12
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
4 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 1
in 82 days
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 5.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Jan 1 | $4.66M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:25 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? |
| 11.0¢ |
| down 1.5 points this week |
| Jan 1 |
| $0.23M |
| October 31 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? | 13.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Oct 31 | $0.16M |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | 0.8¢ | down 0.2 points this week | Nov 1 | $42.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? | 15.5¢ | – | Jul 1 | $13.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | 22.5¢ | down 1 point this week | Jan 1 | $10.8K |
| December 31 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? | 40.0¢ | – | Jan 1 | $9.8K |
| November 30 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? | 30.5¢ | – | Dec 1 | $8.7K |
| October 31 | Iran invades Kuwait by...? | 0.8¢ | no change this week | Nov 1 | $4.1K |
| October 31 | Will Iran target Kuwait by...? | 29.5¢ | down 7.5 points this week | Nov 1 | $513 |
| December 31 | Iran invades Kuwait by...? | 2.6¢ | down 0.6 points this week | Jan 1 | $427 |
| October 15 | Will Iran target Kuwait by...? | 17.0¢ | up 4 points this week | Oct 16 | $126 |