Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:50 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 7,962 | 98.8¢ | $7.9K | Positive+$3.36 per $100 · 1,955 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 7,397 | 99.2¢ | $7.34K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 720 bets |
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 5,000 | 99.2¢ | $4.96K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 404 bets |
| UnderwriterGCR0x771d…440e | No | 4,842 | 99.2¢ | $4.81K | — |
| yonose0x112e…a3f6 | No | 2,000 | 99.1¢ | $1.99K | — |
| kinderSman0xa6d9…fd2f | No | 2,000 | 99.1¢ | $1.99K | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 842 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play