Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yomayoto0xf2fc…7a15 | No | 4,910 | 85.0¢ | $4.15K | New76 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 2,939 | 84.5¢ | $2.48K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| yomayo0x3e35…4956 | No | 2,676 | 83.0¢ | $2.26K | Losing−$2.39 per $100 · 106 bets |
| Kshzx0x9537…a2f1 | Yes | 6,226 | 16.1¢ | $965 | — |
| godpls0xc4fb…2bfd | No | 1,000 | 84.0¢ | $845 | — |
| aybigspender0xe3c5…a0f3 | Yes | 3,993 | 15.0¢ | $619 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.