Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 2,285 | 95.4¢ | $2.27K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 770 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 500 | 96.5¢ | $496 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| dogcrypto0x5d06…7821 | No | 200 | 99.3¢ | $199 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 174 | 95.9¢ | $173 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| NeevS0x30b2…1a36 | No | 173 | 97.4¢ | $172 | — |
| ballytiger0xca78…e67e | No | 113 | 98.8¢ | $112 | — |