Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 12 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| zb80x0224…292a | No | 56,576 | 77.6¢ | $50.1K | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 1,467 bets |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | No | 19,529 | 77.3¢ | $17.3K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 17,463 | 88.7¢ | $15.5K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| nedsta0xf92a…a517 | No | 17,136 | 78.4¢ | $15.2K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 466 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 16,000 | 85.1¢ | $14.2K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 13,293 | 37.5¢ | $11.8K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |