Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| suraxy0xa9ac…c5d1 | No | 1,972 | 76.1¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$2.38 per $100 · 2,851 bets |
| Ko-san-1230x8792…4174 | No | 1,445 | 64.5¢ | $1.11K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 1,520 | 26.8¢ | $357 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| cashy0x8f42…b88f | Yes | 1,497 | 35.0¢ | $352 | Proven+$11.86 per $100 · 1,051 bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 318 | 72.3¢ | $243 | — |
| LehmanBrother2.00x5fbf…8925 | No | 306 | 69.0¢ | $234 | New12 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
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