October 31

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?”.

1. §1This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian military forces enter Kuwait by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET in a military operation that establishes control over any portion of Kuwait territory.
2. §2Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
3. §3Any Iranian military operation which remains on the ground inside the territory of Kuwait for less than 48 hours will not qualify.
4. §4Mere presence of Iranian military forces within Kuwait will not alone qualify, even if for longer than 48 hours.
5. §5A consensus of credible reporting must demonstrate that such presence is or was part of a military operation which established control over a portion of Kuwait.
6. §6Only the entry of Iranian military forces into the territory of Kuwait must occur by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
7. §7Where Iranian military forces enter the territory of Kuwait by the listed date, but on the listed date, at 11:59 PM ET, control has not yet been confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will remain open for 7 additional full calendar days (ET) to allow for confirmation.
8. If, at the end of the seventh calendar day, no consensus of credible reporting indicates that the operation has established or did establish control over part of Kuwait, this market will resolve to "No." No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by a consensus of credible reporting.