Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yomayoto0xf2fc…7a15 | No | 4,910 | 85.0¢ | $4.15K | New76 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 2,939 | 84.5¢ | $2.48K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| yomayo0x3e35…4956 | No | 2,676 | 83.0¢ | $2.26K | Losing−$2.39 per $100 · 106 bets |
| Kshzx0x9537…a2f1 | Yes | 6,226 | 16.1¢ | $965 | — |
| godpls0xc4fb…2bfd | No | 1,000 | 84.0¢ | $845 | — |
| aybigspender0xe3c5…a0f3 | Yes | 3,993 | 15.0¢ | $619 | — |
| Drunken-Mentat0x588c…1bf4 | No | 400 | 84.0¢ | $338 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 676 bets |
| NotMasterFan0x8bc8…97dc | No | 320 | 84.9¢ | $270 | — |
| baybug0xfb66…5e13 | No | 237 | 85.0¢ | $201 | — |
| mx1560x8a1e…bd03 | Yes | 1,000 | 15.0¢ | $155 | Losing−$8.29 per $100 · 352 bets |
| Nonameye0x3a8e…974d | Yes | 930 | 16.0¢ | $144 | — |
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | No | 128 | 84.0¢ | $108 | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 713 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 124 | 83.0¢ | $105 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| from000xc1ab…68f2 | No | 116 | 85.9¢ | $98 | — |
| Mrdov0xf751…5f64 | Yes | 625 | 16.0¢ | $97 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 85.0¢ | $84 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 80 | 84.0¢ | $68 | — |
| Frost000xb51e…0bd5 | No | 59 | 85.0¢ | $50 | — |
| 0x05b3…a453 | No | 47 | 86.0¢ | $39 | — |
| 0xblink0xf6d3…7e6c | No | 40 | 84.0¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x67db…b9d8 | Yes | 200 | 15.0¢ | $31 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 20 | 85.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 6,486 bets |
| Idapro5550xc97f…b64e | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $17 | — |
| frontiertrade0xbcc4…fbde | No | 15 | 85.0¢ | $12 | — |
| ShinobiSkill0x2528…0978 | Yes | 70 | 16.0¢ | $11 | — |
| NADA390x0ba8…51ca | Yes | 67 | 15.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Wartlock0xe856…3789 | No | 12 | 85.0¢ | $10 | — |
| yosefd0xc0b2…1aaf | Yes | 55 | 14.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | Yes | 40 | 12.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 22,018 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 7 | 85.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| 0x3e8a…0f61 | Yes | 31 | 16.0¢ | $5 | — |
| theitaliangoats0x217a…86db | Yes | 15 | 16.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5a29…7f5c | No | 1 | 86.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 1 | 85.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | 1 | 84.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.