Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 26.4¢ | +10.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 43.5¢ | +28.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 79.6¢ | +64.1 pts |
| $500,000 | 93.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 15¢.
About $88 can be bought and $985 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 15.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 07:14 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play