Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 7,962 | 98.8¢ | $7.9K | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 7,397 | 99.2¢ | $7.34K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 5,000 | 99.2¢ | $4.96K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 404 bets |
| UnderwriterGCR0x771d…440e | No | 4,842 | 99.2¢ | $4.81K | — |
| yonose0x112e…a3f6 | No | 2,000 | 99.1¢ | $1.99K | New19 settled bets |
| kinderSman0xa6d9…fd2f | No | 2,000 | 99.1¢ | $1.99K | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 842 bets |
| BLAHBLAHBLAH-2980x0210…4deb | No | 1,697 | 98.9¢ | $1.68K | — |
| ProfitMuhammedPBUH0xae7c…487e | No | 1,593 | 99.0¢ | $1.58K | — |
| ptaszek0x5cf6…6ade | No | 1,500 | 98.8¢ | $1.49K | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 444 bets |
| NotMasterFan0x8bc8…97dc | No | 800 | 99.2¢ | $794 | — |
| abccbaq0x343f…6df2 | No | 500 | 99.0¢ | $496 | — |
| Atsegine0xf44d…cc17 | No | 409 | 98.9¢ | $406 | — |
| AlexHuangX0xd6f0…bc43 | No | 400 | 99.3¢ | $397 | — |
| lailaifa0x6aad…b352 | No | 344 | 99.2¢ | $341 | — |
| mentionsup0x220c…b4dd | No | 338 | 99.3¢ | $335 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 140 bets |
| yurneroc0x9b2a…a533 | No | 255 | 99.1¢ | $253 | — |
| nvnfhrt0xaba4…f153 | No | 202 | 99.0¢ | $201 | — |
| display3000x1617…55ed | No | 200 | 99.1¢ | $199 | — |
| AndyFran0x3714…9ce3 | No | 200 | 99.2¢ | $199 | — |
| yingxer0xded8…ca0f | No | 200 | 98.9¢ | $199 | New36 settled bets |
| bfdbfdtr0x0848…0bd6 | No | 170 | 99.0¢ | $168 | — |
| biomen0x6024…bf2c | No | 160 | 99.0¢ | $159 | — |
| sqsb0x3abd…2c6a | Yes | 20,506 | 1.0¢ | $154 | New67 settled bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 150 | 99.3¢ | $149 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| bngfhf0xf28d…eebd | No | 146 | 99.1¢ | $145 | — |
| xcvdsdfs0x58a5…dc42 | No | 141 | 99.1¢ | $140 | New70 settled bets |
| scropsestay0x68ef…3d5c | No | 132 | 99.3¢ | $131 | — |
| eletiongate0x0823…a970 | No | 130 | 99.1¢ | $129 | — |
| sportsgo0x69db…0ab7 | No | 130 | 99.0¢ | $129 | — |
| marketsnember0xbd23…259d | No | 120 | 99.2¢ | $119 | — |
| Optimistic110x0b29…2071 | No | 112 | 99.0¢ | $111 | — |
| iyghgtr0x801d…cafb | No | 103 | 99.1¢ | $102 | — |
| hyunbjy60x73d5…2e45 | No | 101 | 99.0¢ | $100 | — |
| fsdgdfh32fg0xa53c…c4ba | No | 101 | 99.1¢ | $100 | — |
| hhrdtd0xff31…647a | No | 101 | 99.3¢ | $100 | — |
| Dreamer3bcbcd6c0xd280…82b3 | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 7,524 bets |
| zrathree0xe425…9e9a | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $99 | — |
| bhjghyt0xfea6…5c82 | No | 96 | 99.1¢ | $95 | — |
| eggbro0x24e3…b980 | No | 92 | 99.3¢ | $91 | — |
| HMRevenueandCustoms0x0d05…6a81 | Yes | 12,140 | 0.8¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 852 bets |
| ccsafdg0x1b04…365d | No | 91 | 99.0¢ | $90 | New70 settled bets |
| vags0xcda5…356a | No | 91 | 99.2¢ | $90 | — |
| vfdrgdgd350x7a17…c330 | No | 89 | 99.0¢ | $88 | — |
| nnxcxxbrrger40x05bc…5253 | No | 89 | 99.1¢ | $88 | — |
| xcbvcfge450xd276…a8e6 | No | 86 | 99.0¢ | $85 | — |
| mbvvxnm3fd0x6fd0…7b3f | No | 83 | 99.3¢ | $82 | — |
| cbcrre0x854b…b51e | No | 82 | 99.0¢ | $81 | — |
| lopiyyhk0x24ef…621b | No | 81 | 99.0¢ | $80 | — |
| ffdgvcxgh0xd6df…c4e8 | No | 81 | 99.1¢ | $80 | — |
| ewgfdhbwetg0x4eb1…55dd | No | 81 | 99.3¢ | $80 | — |
| 866jyh0xf1fe…60b3 | No | 81 | 99.3¢ | $80 | — |
| ndfdvsa4dyf0x85b6…71f3 | No | 79 | 99.2¢ | $78 | — |
| mx1560x8a1e…bd03 | Yes | 4,228 | 0.9¢ | $32 | Losing−$8.29 per $100 · 352 bets |
| A.D.0xc8b8…c770 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.8¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x9704…8e26 | Yes | 1,250 | 0.8¢ | $9 | — |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | Yes | 909 | 0.6¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 486 bets |
| ScienceDog0xc369…4e87 | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $4 | — |
| yosefd0xc0b2…1aaf | Yes | 500 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 287 | 2.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 240 | 2.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| Nonameye0x3a8e…974d | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| masshysteria0x640d…8f66 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 20 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 0 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.