Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 1.8¢ | +1.0 pts |
| $10,000 | 11.2¢ | +10.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 40.8¢ | +40.1 pts |
| $500,000 | 75.7¢ | +75.0 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $455 can be bought and $431 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 0.8¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 20:58 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play