Market · 19 of 19 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boss70x5409…79db | No | 15,000 | 99.9¢ | $15K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 2,192 bets |
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 4,047 | 99.8¢ | $4.04K | — |
| decacepa0x2809…10dc | No | 2,443 | 99.8¢ | $2.44K | — |
| ncy119900x5951…92d2 | No | 400 | 99.7¢ | $400 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 293 | 99.4¢ | $293 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,870 bets |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | No | 250 | 99.0¢ | $250 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 105.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.