Market · 14 of 19 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
These 19 outcomes add up to 103.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 535 | 99.6¢ | $534 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 510 | 99.3¢ | $509 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,870 bets |
| 66yih0x5b67…edcc | No | 111 | 99.3¢ | $111 | — |
| 999jkjl0xcb19…e249 | No | 102 | 99.3¢ | $102 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 37 | 98.2¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.24 per $100 · 28,703 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 9,407 | 0.9¢ | $14 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 19 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.