Market · 16 of 20 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 104 | 99.4¢ | $104 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 15 | 99.2¢ | $15 | — |
| wert40x46f7…ded2 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 8,515 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 2,984 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| sange1110x87a9…4bdf | Yes | 1,548 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
8 more outcomes in this event.
These 20 outcomes add up to 101.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.