Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
These 10 outcomes add up to 104.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 440 | 49.3¢ | $220 | — |
| blox110x7741…23e6 | No | 439 | 48.7¢ | $219 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 110 | 11.0¢ | $55 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $50 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 50 | 41.4¢ | $25 | — |
| LineEditor0x04f6…311a | Yes | 39 | 58.2¢ | $19 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.