Market · 9 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 104.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| z94a90x3099…cd58 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 1,112 bets |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | 129 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 108 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 101 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.