Market · 8 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 11:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| z94a90x3099…cd58 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 9 | 99.1¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 1,112 bets |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 782 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | 129 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 108 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 101 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 90 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 59 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 58 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 53 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.48 per $100 · 15,300 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa169…1b73 | Yes | 12 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$514.17 per $100 · 51,461 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,953 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.