Market · 10 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 1,520 | 99.9¢ | $1.52K | — |
| z94a90x3099…cd58 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| L82880x0b5c…3748 | No | 5 | 97.3¢ | $5 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 10 outcomes add up to 104.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.