Market · 7 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 104.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 190 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 110 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 90 | 5.6¢ | $1 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.