Market · 3 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 104.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $92 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 15 | 90.0¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 159 | 10.5¢ | $13 | — |
| Bil666El0x43ad…da98 | Yes | 120 | 10.5¢ | $10 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 110 | 11.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 10 | 95.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.