Market · 2 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:24 UTC. Not financial advice.
These 10 outcomes add up to 97.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sleezzz0x5caf…50af | Yes | 400 | 32.0¢ | $124 | — |
| anon2648110xae34…3a8a | No | 74 | 68.1¢ | $51 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 67 | 68.3¢ | $46 | Losing−$7.72 per $100 · 3,183 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 109 | 31.3¢ | $34 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $31 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 25 | 68.4¢ | $17 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.