Market · 4 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb307…c802 | No | 211 | 96.1¢ | $197 | — |
| sdgg760x18ef…cdf8 | No | 138 | 94.3¢ | $129 | — |
| fdsf670x69b4…48ed | No | 138 | 94.3¢ | $129 | — |
| ght80x3906…47cf | No | 137 | 94.3¢ | $128 | — |
| yuff80xa87b…61bb | No | 126 | 95.2¢ | $118 | — |
| 0xf92d…6433 | No | 125 | 94.3¢ | $117 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.