Market · 10 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.01M in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CakeBake0x9d80…fcaf | No | 2,144 | 99.9¢ | $2.14K | — |
| z94a90x3099…cd58 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Etherapp0x9fac…3e5a | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 159 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 55 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 40 | 2.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 34 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.