Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| blox110x7741…23e6 | No | 439 | 48.7¢ | $222 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 440 | 49.3¢ | $218 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 159 | 10.5¢ | $79 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 110 | 11.0¢ | $54 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $50 | — |
| MartinPNZ0xe130…4006 | Yes | 50 | 41.4¢ | $25 | — |
| LineEditor0x04f6…311a | Yes | 39 | 58.2¢ | $19 | — |
| goodman-10xb575…87ec | Yes | 30 | 44.3¢ | $15 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 27 | 52.0¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| Lazygoth310x792e…e25d | Yes | 23 | 45.2¢ | $11 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 22 | 53.2¢ | $11 | Losing−$6.18 per $100 · 2,209 bets |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 52.0¢ | $10 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 10.8¢ | $10 | — |
| Balfang0x58b9…e3ca | Yes | 15 | 51.7¢ | $7 | — |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 13 | 43.0¢ | $7 | — |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 10 | 55.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 10 | 58.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0x318e…3749 | Yes | 10 | 43.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x0d18…f157 | Yes | 6 | 48.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x7c14…5783 | No | 5 | 46.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 1,978 bets |
| special-one0xbb4b…5667 | No | 3 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x227f…c9cd | No | 2 | 49.2¢ | $1 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 0 | 52.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | No | 0 | 56.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 0 | 53.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.