Market · 1 of 13 outcomes
Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 393 | 91.4¢ | $297 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 100 | 93.0¢ | $76 | New18 settled bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 298 | 25.3¢ | $73 | — |
| Dr.mett0xe0dc…3944 | No | 80 | 83.6¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x61b5…40c6 | No | 79 | 94.0¢ | $60 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 170 | 8.5¢ | $42 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
1 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 106 events · $6.1M in play