Market · 11 of 13 outcomes
Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
1 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 810 | 92.2¢ | $794 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 280 | 87.6¢ | $275 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 249 | 90.5¢ | $244 | — |
| 0x61b5…40c6 | No | 207 | 96.7¢ | $203 | — |
| Dr.mett0xe0dc…3944 | No | 50 | 75.5¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x8b54…167f | No | 48 | 92.2¢ | $47 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play