Market · 4 of 13 outcomes
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lamyk0xc004…c095 | No | 461 | 67.8¢ | $397 | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 341 | 44.5¢ | $293 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 |
| No |
| 299 |
| 66.1¢ |
| $257 |
| Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| idl0x726c…6bfd | No | 180 | 63.9¢ | $155 | Proven+$9.67 per $100 · 890 bets |
| 0x61b5…40c6 | No | 99 | 46.2¢ | $85 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 453 | 34.3¢ | $63 | — |
1 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play