Market · 8 of 13 outcomes
Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,089 | 81.3¢ | $1.05K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 1,039 | 84.4¢ | $1.01K | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 390 | 80.3¢ | $377 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| SDODNDPD0x3458…b5a7 | No | 122 | 82.6¢ | $118 | Positive+$1.22 per $100 · 3,308 bets |
| 0x61b5…40c6 | No | 41 | 89.4¢ | $40 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 13 | 85.8¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
1 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 106 events · $6.1M in play