Market · 10 of 13 outcomes
Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
1 more outcomes in this event.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 664 | 93.2¢ | $644 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 437 | 90.4¢ | $423 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 202 | 97.1¢ | $196 | New18 settled bets |
| 0x61b5…40c6 | No | 161 | 93.5¢ | $156 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 77 | 89.2¢ | $75 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 30 | 88.0¢ | $29 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play