Market · 5 of 13 outcomes
SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 524 | 77.7¢ | $461 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 356 | 61.4¢ | $313 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| lamyk0xc004…c095 | No | 240 | 68.5¢ | $211 | — |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 196 | 55.0¢ | $172 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| 0x61b5…40c6 | No | 90 | 63.6¢ | $79 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 345 | 32.3¢ | $41 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 50 shares each side · Show
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1 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 97 events · $6.03M in play