Market · 4 of 13 outcomes
Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 322 | 76.5¢ | $278 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| SDODNDPD0x3458…b5a7 | No | 128 | 78.7¢ | $111 | Positive+$1.22 per $100 · 3,308 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 121 | 75.8¢ | $105 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 111 | 80.0¢ | $96 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,034 bets |
| 0x659b…e53a | No | 38 | 78.7¢ | $33 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 243 | 20.5¢ | $33 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
1 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play