Market · 3 of 13 outcomes
Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 18:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 322 | 76.5¢ | $269 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| SDODNDPD0x3458…b5a7 | No | 128 | 78.7¢ | $107 | Positive+$1.22 per $100 · 3,308 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 121 | 75.8¢ | $101 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 111 | 80.0¢ | $93 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 22,038 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 393 | 18.2¢ | $65 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| 0x659b…e53a | No | 38 | 78.7¢ | $32 | — |
| greatbritain0x92a7…eb78 | Yes | 168 | 18.5¢ | $28 | Proven+$32.11 per $100 · 195 bets |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 22 | 86.2¢ | $19 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 21 | 76.0¢ | $18 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 20 | 85.0¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 131,061 bets |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 97 | 19.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 14 | 75.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 12 | 79.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 54 | 22.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 32 | 24.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| JorgeBrasla0xa059…5a71 | No | 5 | 84.5¢ | $4 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 18.0¢ | $3 | — |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 20 | 22.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 20 | 20.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ferpalantir0xcd76…22eb | Yes | 10 | 13.0¢ | $2 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 10 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| Slowbucks0x312a…66b8 | Yes | 10 | 16.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ProyxBR0x80f9…bc65 | No | 1 | 78.7¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 2 | 22.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| fastandfudurious0x305d…c253 | Yes | 1 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play