Market · 12 of 13 outcomes
Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 1,881 | 86.8¢ | $1.86K | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 422 | 87.2¢ | $417 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 401 | 84.5¢ | $396 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | 28 | 90.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$1.15 per $100 · 12,688 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 20 | 92.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 537 | 14.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play
1 more outcomes in this event.