Market · 7 of 13 outcomes
ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 515 | 91.9¢ | $490 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 160 | 90.4¢ | $152 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,956 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 90 | 91.0¢ | $86 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| qbug0xf939…aded | No | 50 | 90.4¢ | $48 | — |
| 572849100x856a…4ea2 | No | 30 | 92.3¢ | $29 | New18 settled bets |
| 0xda0f…2a19 | No | 20 | 92.8¢ | $19 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
1 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play