Market · 3 of 13 outcomes
Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 284 | 74.1¢ | $240 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| bissy.0x5329…7eb0 | No | 250 | 80.6¢ | $211 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| jesusonxco967660x7ee6…a798 |
| No |
| 217 |
| 61.7¢ |
| $183 |
| — |
| grandmothergrammy0x2d5b…e94b | No | 193 | 60.0¢ | $163 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 138 | 76.5¢ | $116 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| 0x61b5…40c6 | No | 98 | 55.4¢ | $83 | — |
1 more outcomes in this event.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 106 events · $6.1M in play