Market · 36 of 43 outcomes
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
31 more outcomes in this event.
These 43 outcomes add up to 82.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,336,668 | 0.7¢ | $668 | New15 settled bets |
| TRUMPfun0x159f…31cf | No | 204 | 99.3¢ | $204 | — |
| 1H4T3N1GG3R5880x7c8a…52c8 | No | 200 | 99.0¢ | $200 | — |
| 4ere0x231f…9a99 | No | 183 | 98.8¢ | $182 | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 277,701 | 0.5¢ | $139 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.