Market · 36 of 43 outcomes
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 43 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pizzabillgates0xa771…162d | Yes | 1,336,668 | 0.7¢ | $668 | New15 settled bets |
| TRUMPfun0x159f…31cf | No | 204 | 99.3¢ | $204 | New26 settled bets |
| 1H4T3N1GG3R5880x7c8a…52c8 | No | 200 | 99.0¢ | $200 | — |
| 4ere0x231f…9a99 | No | 183 | 98.8¢ | $182 | — |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | Yes | 304,000 | 0.4¢ | $152 | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau0x2663…ed1f | Yes | 277,701 | 0.5¢ | $139 | Positive+$11.43 per $100 · 511 bets |
| fpitts0x1c7d…58ff | No | 72 | 99.8¢ | $72 | — |
| multgaem60x668f…4c4d | No | 55 | 99.5¢ | $55 | — |
| zadrosnik2340x813e…f4b9 | No | 55 | 99.6¢ | $55 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 75,183 | 0.4¢ | $38 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 68,631 | 0.2¢ | $34 | Positive+$12.20 per $100 · 3,933 bets |
| 0x2d89…ac9e | Yes | 63,000 | 0.1¢ | $32 | New28 settled bets |
| ArchBishopSusan0x76c8…0439 | Yes | 58,400 | 0.6¢ | $29 | New65 settled bets |
| ChristineHaggai0x8fa7…194a | No | 23 | 99.5¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x44dc…c084 | No | 22 | 99.0¢ | $22 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 44,165 | 0.7¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0xa0c8…9e6f | Yes | 40,000 | 0.1¢ | $20 | — |
| 6464sdfsd0x6854…a61d | No | 15 | 99.3¢ | $15 | — |
| etar0x0c15…944d | Yes | 29,486 | 0.5¢ | $15 | Positive+$5.00 per $100 · 169 bets |
| 0xca75…6e6b | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| yingiyng0x464b…8371 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x0c39…3796 | No | 14 | 99.3¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x19b2…f12d | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x4851…4718 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| HarryPotterEliza0x52e3…26a2 | No | 13 | 99.1¢ | $13 | New47 settled bets |
| 0x0419…4940 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| moncherisss0x8dbd…2360 | No | 13 | 99.5¢ | $13 | — |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 26,000 | 0.6¢ | $13 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 0x72db…0179 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xf179…96fb | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7edf…de73 | No | 13 | 99.3¢ | $13 | — |
| poiujuhui0x0d89…8e89 | No | 13 | 99.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xb693…4c61 | No | 12 | 99.3¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xcb0f…d2b4 | No | 11 | 98.8¢ | $11 | — |
| dsadw20xcbcd…a0dc | No | 11 | 99.4¢ | $11 | — |
| xishui0xa93c…cbeb | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| susu0x905b…f9d0 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x0517…7a5a | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| xidada0x573d…8136 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| BABY0x53c8…3ebf | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xa727…1e15 | Yes | 22,000 | 0.1¢ | $11 | — |
| DEFI-2450x5219…2fc7 | No | 11 | 99.2¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xc484…8a63 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | — |
| KerwinLucia0xf4fd…a4b3 | No | 11 | 99.5¢ | $11 | — |
| pinka0x8aa6…f9be | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | — |
| LeviSweet0xe8c9…be46 | No | 10 | 99.5¢ | $10 | — |
| altka120x0f66…cd5e | Yes | 20,012 | 0.8¢ | $10 | — |
| JumperChip0x193a…35c0 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.1¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 1,017 bets |
| 1E3540xc3a2…af14 | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | — |
| GG5570x2184…1257 | No | 10 | 98.8¢ | $10 | New19 settled bets |
| LesCromwell0x6986…1fcc | No | 9 | 99.5¢ | $9 | — |
| jyt250x3929…dd47 | No | 9 | 99.4¢ | $9 | — |
| LucasMartin5990x2a87…946d | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 870520xdab4…1db9 | No | 8 | 99.4¢ | $8 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 15,139 | 0.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,300 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 15,000 | 0.3¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| sdkle0x16e7…b811 | No | 7 | 99.4¢ | $7 | — |
| 528yb0xf669…710e | No | 7 | 99.4¢ | $7 | — |
| for-the-lulz0x61e2…4958 | Yes | 14,286 | 0.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$97.69 per $100 · 135 bets |
| WayneMullins6000xf9be…7570 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| geidi0xe2f7…1a98 | No | 6 | 99.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x4a8b…a5f5 | No | 6 | 99.3¢ | $6 | — |
| megafan0x32e7…1226 | No | 6 | 98.9¢ | $6 | — |
| hdh650x9b0f…03ba | No | 6 | 98.9¢ | $6 | — |
| sittmandivis0x15df…011c | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| soonsvm0x5c8b…684d | No | 5 | 98.9¢ | $5 | — |
| d1733b10xed7c…25cf | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2255…a674 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$59.48 per $100 · 230 bets |
| 0x4911…bbf7 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,900 | 0.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x1e07…49d6 | Yes | 7,000 | 0.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xb05d…bf74 | Yes | 7,000 | 0.1¢ | $4 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 6,000 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| 0x46bc…ebc3 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| f2kus0xdcf8…93c6 | Yes | 5,555 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 5,530 | 0.2¢ | $3 | New41 settled bets |
| tugator0x0c26…d223 | Yes | 5,000 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 6,748 bets |
| FreeCityIndividual0x098e…6fa2 | Yes | 4,089 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$13.29 per $100 · 5,150 bets |
| 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 3,500 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| shudd0x6884…417c | Yes | 3,102 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 357 bets |
| 0x43cd…bf40 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$10.38 per $100 · 360 bets |
| 0x9b00…4834 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Donkov0xbc54…680f | Yes | 2,995 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.18 per $100 · 1,980 bets |
| 0x08d9…d48e | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $1 | New1 settled bet |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,500 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| OkaneKasegu0x5d74…ee45 | Yes | 2,100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 710 bets |
| 0x745e…b1cc | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ZachB660xc880…8380 | Yes | 2,000 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcab0…8705 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| pizzaallosqualo0x801b…e036 | Yes | 1,950 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.96 per $100 · 180 bets |
| PierreClavet0x3fbf…f580 | Yes | 1,714 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| 0xb241…7dbb | Yes | 1,500 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| TheRedChip0xdf6d…9c5c | Yes | 1,299 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$5.80 per $100 · 1,305 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,260 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Anne6660x0873…09e8 | Yes | 1,222 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$60.07 per $100 · 7,844 bets |
| Captchacha0x96f9…09c7 | Yes | 1,111 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 1,100 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.